Steve Bruce, manager of Newcastle United and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, manager of Manchester United talk prior to the Premier League match between the two sides at St. James ParkSteve Bruce, manager of Newcastle United and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, manager of Manchester United talk prior to the Premier League match between the two sides at St. James Park
Steve Bruce, manager of Newcastle United and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, manager of Manchester United talk prior to the Premier League match between the two sides at St. James Park

Where Newcastle United and Aston Villa SHOULD sit in Premier League table - according to xG 'data experts'

Many Premier League fans and managers often say you don't always get the points you deserve – and finally, we have found the statistics to prove it
By James Copley
Published 28th Oct 2020, 16:45 GMT

Expected goals (xG) is a football metric, which allows you to correctly evaluate team and player performance.

At understat.com they believe that in a low-scoring game such as football, final match score does not provide a clear picture of performance.

They say more and more sports analytics turn to advanced models like xG, which is a statistical measure of the quality of chances created and conceded.

Their goal was to create the most precise method for shot quality evaluation.

Here's how the current Premier League table looks according to their methods…

Simply scroll down and click through to see where your Premier League team stands in the understat.com league table:

Liverpool top the expected points table with 12.68 points (-0.32)

1. LIVERPOOL (1st)

Liverpool top the expected points table with 12.68 points (-0.32) Photo: MICHAEL REGAN

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Everton's expected points total is 11.19 (-1.81)

2. EVERTON (2nd)

Everton's expected points total is 11.19 (-1.81) Photo: ANDY RAIN

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Tottenham's expected points total is is 10.66 (-0.34)

3. TOTTENHAM (3rd)

Tottenham's expected points total is is 10.66 (-0.34) Photo: Michael Regan

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Brighton's expected points total of 9.96 (+4.96)

4. BRIGHTON (4th)

Brighton's expected points total of 9.96 (+4.96) Photo: Pool

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