Sam Allardyce’s win record alone as a Premier League manager would not be enough to keep Sunderland up this season, but his undefeated record would see them safe.
Based on Big Sam’s 33.87% top-flight win rate, taken from his spells at Bolton, Newcastle, Blackburn Rovers and West Ham, he would collect 30 points in wins alone from the 90 points still available this season.
Added to that the three points the Black Cats already have to their name this season, Allardyce would have to find seven more points to reach the 40 point mark that is more than likely to ensure survival for another season.
Those 30 points would come from 10 matches, which would leave Allardyce with 20 games to find the remaining seven to reach the 40 point milestone.
And if Allardyce’s 27.46% stalemate record as a Premier League manager is anything to go by, Big Sam’s men would pick up an extra eight points from as many games, taking Sunderland’s final points tally to 41 for the season, which has been enough in all-but-one 20-team Premier League season since 1995.
The question that remains is where are the Black Cats are going to pick up these 10 wins and eight draws they need to stay up?
Today’s game at West Brom would be a good start.
*All figures rounded to the nearest whole number.