The Magpies have won just one of their 20 Premier League matches so far this season and sit 19th in the table on 12 points.
Eddie Howe’s side faced relegation rivals Watford at St James’s Park on Saturday and took the lead in the second half through Allan Saint-Maximin only for Joao Pedro to equalise in the 87th minute.
The draw keeps Newcastle two points from safety with 17th place Watford having a game in hand. Wins for Norwich City and Leeds United also helped them in their battle to avoid the drop.
Following the weekend’s results, we’ve compiled data from FiveThirtyEight’s supercomputer, which has predicted the final 2021-22 Premier League standings using a range of statistical calculations, form guides and data analysis.
Here is the supercomputer prediction…
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5. Arsenal - 65 points, +16 GD
The Gunners' chances of ending their five season Champions League qualification drought are reasonable with a 41% chance of a top four finish. Photo: Naomi Baker
6. Tottenham - 64 points, +8 GD
Spurs are predicted to miss out on Champions League qualification, one point behind Arsenal. The data experts estimate they have a 34% chance of a top four finish though they also claim Spurs have a higher chance of finishing in the bottom half than they do 2nd. Photo: Mike Hewitt
7. West Ham - 59 points, +11 GD
The Hammers are enjoying a great season in the top flight and have a chance to secure Champions League qualification for the first time. Their chances of a top four finish are 11%. Photo: Julian Finney
8. Manchester United - 58 points, +5 GD
Manchester United have been predicted to finish outside the top four. Their chances of Champions League qualification have been calculated at 10% while their chances of finishing 14th are higher than finishing 2nd. Photo: Alex Livesey