The Magpies have won just one of their 20 Premier League matches so far this season and sit 19th in the table on 12 points.
Eddie Howe’s side faced relegation rivals Watford at St James’s Park on Saturday and took the lead in the second half through Allan Saint-Maximin only for Joao Pedro to equalise in the 87th minute.
The draw keeps Newcastle two points from safety with 17th place Watford having a game in hand. Wins for Norwich City and Leeds United also helped them in their battle to avoid the drop.
Following the weekend’s results, we’ve compiled data from FiveThirtyEight’s supercomputer, which has predicted the final 2021-22 Premier League standings using a range of statistical calculations, form guides and data analysis.
Here is the supercomputer prediction…
A message from the Football Clubs Editor
Our aim is to provide you with the best, most up-to-date and most informative Newcastle United coverage 365 days a year.
This depth of coverage costs, so to help us maintain the high-quality reporting that you are used to, please consider taking out a subscription; sign up here.
Your support is much appreciated. Richard Mennear, Football Clubs Editor
17. Everton - 41 points, -17 GD
Managerless Everton are having a tough season with a probability of relegation at 12%. Photo: Gareth Copley
18. Burnley - 34 points, -20 GD
Burnley currently sit bottom of the table but several games in hand could see them move out of the relegation zone. But with just one win all season, their spell in the top flight remains under serious threat with a calculated 43% chance of relegation. Photo: Ian MacNicol
19. Watford - 33 points, -27 GD
Watford are predicted to go down this season by just a single point. Their chances of relegation are a fairly substantial 53% with a 11% probability of finishing rock bottom. Photo: Richard Heathcote
20. Newcastle United - 28 points -37 GD
The Magpies have dropped more points from winning positions than any other side in the Premier League this season and currently sit 19th. This is the position they have been predicted to finish with a whopping 79% chance of relegation, according to the data experts. Photo: PAUL ELLIS