‘Experts’ forecast Newcastle United’s Champions League hopes and deliver Leeds United and Everton relegation verdicts
Eddie Howe’s side have suffered just one defeat all season with their victory against Tottenham Hotspur making it back-to-back wins for Eddie Howe’s side. That win moved the Magpies into 4th place and it's a deserved reward for the transformation Newcastle have undergone under Howe in the past 12 months.
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Hide AdAlthough supporters aren’t getting ahead of themselves too early in the season, dreams of a return to Europe are growing on Tyneside. But will Newcastle be able to sustain this charge near the top of the table?
Here, we take a look to see what the FiveThirtyEight supercomputer predicts is in store for Newcastle United and their Premier League rivals this season:
Premier League supercomputer predictions
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Hide Ad1) Manchester City: predicted points = 87 (+66 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 72%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 98%
2) Arsenal: predicted points = 76 (+30 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 15%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 77%


3) Liverpool: predicted points = 70 (+37 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 4%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 60%
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Hide Ad4) Chelsea: predicted points = 69 (+21 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 4%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 50%
5) Tottenham Hotspur: predicted points = 66 (+19 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 3%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 37%
6) Manchester United: predicted points = 66 (+14 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 2%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 38%
7) Newcastle United: predicted points = 61 (+15 GD), chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 21%
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Hide Ad8) Brighton & Hove Albion: predicted points = 57 (+8 GD), chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 12%
9) West Ham: predicted points = 51 (0 GD), chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 3%
10) Aston Villa: predicted points = 46 (-8 GD), chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 1%, chances of relegation = 9%
11) Crystal Palace: predicted points = 46 (-10 GD), chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 1%, chances of relegation = 10%
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Hide Ad12) Brentford: predicted points = 45 (-13 GD), chances of relegation = 12%
13) Fulham: predicted points = 44 (-16 GD), chances of relegation = 12%
14) Leicester City: predicted points = 42 (-11 GD), chances of relegation = 18%
15) Everton: predicted points = 42 (-13 GD), chances of relegation = 20%
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Hide Ad16) Southampton: predicted points = 40 (-21 GD), chances of relegation = 26%
17) Leeds United: predicted points = 38 (-20 GD), chances of relegation = 34%
18) Wolves: predicted points = 37 (-26 GD), chances of relegation = 40%
19) Bournemouth: predicted points = 35 (-37 GD), chances of relegation = 51%
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Hide Ad20) Nottingham Forest: predicted points = 32 (-36 GD), chances of relegation = 63%