‘Experts’ forecast Newcastle United’s Champions League hopes and deliver Leeds United and Everton relegation verdicts

Newcastle United currently find themselves in a Champions League place - but will they be able to sustain this come the end of the season?
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Eddie Howe’s side have suffered just one defeat all season with their victory against Tottenham Hotspur making it back-to-back wins for Eddie Howe’s side. That win moved the Magpies into 4th place and it's a deserved reward for the transformation Newcastle have undergone under Howe in the past 12 months.

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Although supporters aren’t getting ahead of themselves too early in the season, dreams of a return to Europe are growing on Tyneside. But will Newcastle be able to sustain this charge near the top of the table?

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Here, we take a look to see what the FiveThirtyEight supercomputer predicts is in store for Newcastle United and their Premier League rivals this season:

Premier League supercomputer predictions

1) Manchester City: predicted points = 87 (+66 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 72%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 98%

2) Arsenal: predicted points = 76 (+30 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 15%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 77%

‘Experts’ have forecasted Newcastle United’s Champions League hopes (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)‘Experts’ have forecasted Newcastle United’s Champions League hopes (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)
‘Experts’ have forecasted Newcastle United’s Champions League hopes (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)

3) Liverpool: predicted points = 70 (+37 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 4%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 60%

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4) Chelsea: predicted points = 69 (+21 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 4%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 50%

5) Tottenham Hotspur: predicted points = 66 (+19 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 3%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 37%

6) Manchester United: predicted points = 66 (+14 GD), chances of winning Premier League = 2%, chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 38%

7) Newcastle United: predicted points = 61 (+15 GD), chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 21%

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8) Brighton & Hove Albion: predicted points = 57 (+8 GD), chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 12%

9) West Ham: predicted points = 51 (0 GD), chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 3%

10) Aston Villa: predicted points = 46 (-8 GD), chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 1%, chances of relegation = 9%

11) Crystal Palace: predicted points = 46 (-10 GD), chances of qualifying for the Champions League = 1%, chances of relegation = 10%

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12) Brentford: predicted points = 45 (-13 GD), chances of relegation = 12%

13) Fulham: predicted points = 44 (-16 GD), chances of relegation = 12%

14) Leicester City: predicted points = 42 (-11 GD), chances of relegation = 18%

15) Everton: predicted points = 42 (-13 GD), chances of relegation = 20%

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16) Southampton: predicted points = 40 (-21 GD), chances of relegation = 26%

17) Leeds United: predicted points = 38 (-20 GD), chances of relegation = 34%

18) Wolves: predicted points = 37 (-26 GD), chances of relegation = 40%

19) Bournemouth: predicted points = 35 (-37 GD), chances of relegation = 51%

20) Nottingham Forest: predicted points = 32 (-36 GD), chances of relegation = 63%